Pollywogs!

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21660914/

Obama won this a while ago…last night was the nail in the coffin…

Let me break it down:

Barak Obama has 1307 delagates.  Hillary Clinton has 1175.   A difference of 132.  With her ‘big wins’ in Texas and Ohio, she nabbed 12 and 11 delagates more than Obama did in each state.  That means SHE WOULD NEED ELEVEN MORE CONSECUTIVE TEXAS OR TWELVE MORE OHIO VICTORIES TO PULL AHEAD.   How many Ohios are left???

(update: http://my.barackobama.com: Obama actually won more delegates in Texas than Clinton did)

She would need to DESTROY Obama in a consecutive string of massive defeats to be able to pull ahead, considering that there aren’t many large states left.  A whole bunch of 52% and 55% aren’t going to do her diddly…

Apparently, I’m not the only one who has sat down and looked at the actual delegate count…

 http://www.newsweek.com/id/118240

UPDATE: http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1719614,00.html

Buried in the fine print, a fact that deflates all of the advertising money which rolls in with higher ratings:

 ”But the March 4 results have not changed Obama’s strongest talking point (and reality point) for why Clinton should exit the Democratic race: Math. It appears numerically impossible for her to overtake his lead among elected delegates.

Neither Obama nor Clinton can win the 2,025 delegates required for nomination without some combination of elected delegates (those chosen in primaries and caucuses) and superdelegates (party and elected officials who are automatic delegates to the Democrats’ Denver convention this summer). About 800 of the approximately 4,000 delegates are superdelegates and several hundred of them are still uncommitted to either candidate.

Given the remaining contests — many with electorates favorable to Obama — Obama’s existing hundred-plus delegate lead, and the rules by which Democrats apportion delegates, it is almost a political and mathematical certainty that Obama will have an elected delegate lead at the end of the process, barring dramatic, unforeseen circumstances.”

Pretty damn cut and dry.  Game over.

FURTHER UPDATE:

Got this in the old inbox from barakobama.com:

“Our projections show the most likely outcome of yesterday’s elections will be that Hillary Clinton gained 187 delegates, and we gained 183.

That’s a net gain of 4 delegates out of more than 370 delegates available from all the states that voted.

For comparison, that’s less than half our net gain of 9 delegates from the District of Columbia alone. It’s also less than our net gain of 8 from Nebraska, or 12 from Washington State. And it’s considerably less than our net gain of 33 delegates from Georgia.

The task for the Clinton campaign yesterday was clear. In order to have a plausible path to the nomination, they needed to score huge delegate victories and cut into our lead.

They failed.

It’s clear, though, that Senator Clinton wants to continue an increasingly desperate, increasingly negative — and increasingly expensive — campaign to tear us down.”